Okay, I don't want to go all conspiracy theory on you, but it's hard not to apply cui bono
here. Under normal circumstances, you'd expect the Dems to be worried. They've had two terms in office, the US is still not doing so well economically, and Hillary is notoriously unpopular with a large chunk of the electorate. She ought to be having serious problems, and people on the left ought to be starting to shrug their shoulders and say, well, maybe some of those Republicans aren't that bad. Instead, the markets are giving odds of about two to one
that Ms Clinton will be the next President.
Why? Um, because Donald Trump has rendered the GOP close to unelectable. I suppose he might have done it by accident, or out of stupidity. But if he'd set out to destroy the party, I don't see that he could have been more effective. He's alienated several key demographics - Hispanics, blacks, women - to such an extent that it's hard to see how any bridge-building exercise is going to work. I suppose a major terrorist attack may make people feel that, even if he's an asshole, he's the kind of asshole the US needs to keep it safe. But, more and more, he's coming across as a loose cannon who doesn't mean anything he says, who changes his story whenever it suits him and then insists that his views have "evolved", who just can't be taken seriously.
Consider for a moment that Trump used to be a Democrat. He used to be pro-choice. He invited the Clintons to his last wedding. And in a book or a movie, you'd know by now that he'd done it on purpose, to trick the far right wing of the Republican Party into coming out in the open and permanently discrediting themselves. It would be the twist that wrapped up the whole narrative. This is how, operating under deep cover, brave Agent Trump infiltrated the bunch of vampires that were sucking the US's life-blood, and put a stake through their collective hearts so that America could be Great Again.
Of course, I don't really believe it. But I just read this article
in the National Review
- not exactly your typical lying, liberal publication - and when you see their quotes you have to wonder. Here's someone so insanely irresponsible that even Ann Coulter is publicly upset about it. And that ending. I just have to quote it in full:
... barring some miraculous comeback by Ted Cruz, the Trump campaign will have cost the Republican Party the presidency after eight years of Obama, and perhaps the Senate and even the House - and Scalia's replacement on the Court as well. Years of effort spent attempting to dispel the accusations of inherent Republican misogyny, xenophobia, hypocrisy, ignorance and blind rage have been undone by Trump's campaign. And every Trump advocate in front of a camera had a hand in this.
We're not just gonna hug it out.
Since writing this review a bit more than three weeks ago, I've been regularly checking the odds posted on Betfair
for the different Presidential candidates. A pattern has emerged: an improvement in Trump's chances is associated with an improvement in Hillary's chances. After Trump's unsuccessful Wisconsin primary, Hillary was running at around 2-1 on (67% chance of success). Trump has done well since then, and Hillary's improved to around 3-1 on (75%).
Like I said, I'm not hypothesizing a conspiracy. But if I were Hillary, I wouldn't necessarily be unhappy that Trump right now looks like he has a decent shot at getting over half of the Republican delegates ahead of the July convention and locking up the nomination.
I just have to share the striking graphic I saw earlier this evening on fivethirtyeight.com. Hillary's one lucky woman.
From another recent article in The National Review
Donald Trump is unfit for the office.
He is unfit for any office, morally and intellectually.
A man who could suggest, simply because it is convenient, that his opponent’s father had something to do with the assassination of President Kennedy is unfit for any position of public responsibility.
His long litany of lies — which include fabrications about everything from his wealth to self-funding his campaign — is disqualifying.
His low character is disqualifying.
His personal history is disqualifying.
His complete, utter, total, and lifelong lack of honor is disqualifying.
The fact that he is going to have to take time out of the convention to appear in court to hear a pretty convincing fraud case against him is disqualifying.
His time on Jeffrey Epstein’s Pedophile Island, after which he boasted about sharing a taste with Epstein for women “on the younger side,” is disqualifying.
The fact that he knows less about our constitutional order than does a not-especially-bright Rappahannock River oyster is disqualifying.
There isn’t anything one can say about Mrs. Clinton, monster though she is, that changes any of that.
Donald Trump is not fit to serve as president. He is not fit to serve on the Meade County board of commissioners. He is not fit to be the mayor of Muleshoe, Texas.
If he indeed is the Republican nominee, Donald Trump almost certainly will face Hillary Rodham Clinton in the general election. That fact, sobering though it is, does not suddenly make him fit to serve as president, because — to repeat — the problem with Trump isn’t that he is less fit to serve in comparison to Mrs. Clinton, but that he is unfit to serve, period.
Though of course, that's what the conservatives are saying. The liberals aren't going to be as positive.
The National Review
list somehow forgot to include Trump's tax returns, but Mitt Romney has just made good that omission
It is disqualifying for a modern-day presidential nominee to refuse to release tax returns to the voters, especially one who has not been subject to public scrutiny in either military or public service. Tax returns provide the public with its sole confirmation of the veracity of a candidate's representations regarding charities, priorities, wealth, tax conformance, and conflicts of interest. Further, while not a likely circumstance, the potential for hidden inappropriate associations with foreign entities, criminal organizations, or other unsavory groups is simply too great a risk to ignore for someone who is seeking to become commander-in-chief.
Mr. Trump says he is being audited. So? There is nothing that prevents releasing tax returns that are being audited. Further, he could release returns for the years immediately prior to the years under audit. There is only one logical explanation for Mr. Trump's refusal to release his returns: there is a bombshell in them. Given Mr. Trump's equanimity with other flaws in his history, we can only assume it's a bombshell of unusual size.
I must say I'm disappointed. Just because Trump suggested on live TV that Romney would have been happy to give him a blow-job in exchange for his support in the last presidential election, he gets all huffy and starts saying things like the above. Evidently not a team player. Or does he know something we don't?
It's been a rough few weeks for Agent Trump. He's been trying his damnedest to sink the Republican ship - but whatever he did, somehow it went wrong. He flung racial insults at a judge of unimpeachable character, flirted with the KKK, cozied up to the autocratic leader of an unfriendly foreign state and encouraged a senior Republican to give a speech against him at the RNC. He decided not to hire any campaign staff or buy any TV spots. Things were so desperate that Melania joined in. Great love hath no trophy wife than she plagiarize her rival's lines to help her husband... but even that
didn't have any effect. Despite all his efforts to paint himself, in the most garish colors imaginable, as Lyin' Crooked Donald, a character that only a drunk, sleep-deprived halfwit would trust with the nuclear codes, his ratings held steady. They even improved a bit.
As he likes to say, never give up, and after literally dozens of imaginative attempts he seems to have found an idea that works. I'm sure he didn't enjoy gratuitously disrespecting the sick, elderly mother of an American war hero, but desperate times require desperate measures. Finally... FINALLY!... his poll figures seem to heading in the direction he needs. Obviously they don't want to jinx it at this stage, and I bet the entire Trump family are anxiously checking fivethirtyeight's NowCast every ten minutes to see if it's screwed up again. But there's no doubt about it, things are starting to look good at last. Another month of this and they'll be cracking open the champagne at Trump Tower.
Bravo, Agent Trump! You have the hardest job in the world. And you're doing splendidly.